December 19th -$11.5

evcouta Posted December 18, 2018 9:14 pm

Both of these two teams are great to hit the TAB/UBET promo with, the Lakers have played in 10 close games this season (34% of their total games) which is the equal 3rd highest in the league and have won in 6 of them. The nets have also played in 10 close games this season (33% of their total games), winning in 5 of them.
The current layout of this bet means that we are guaranteed to profit if the Lakers win as either the Tabtouch or UBET/TAB promos will trigger. If the nets win, we lose just $0.5, feel free to alter the stakes if you wish to play it differently.
*Lakers win by 7 points or more =$28 profit (Tabtouch $50 cash)
*Lakers win by 1-6= $58 profit (Ubet & TAB $50bb each)
*Nets win = -$0.5 (no promos trigger)

evcouta Posted December 18, 2018 9:14 pm

Note* The above stats (sourced from the NBA website) are based off margins of FIVE points or less and therefore doesn’t consider games that were won/lost by SIX points (which is what the TAB/UBET promo is). This essentially means we can expect the hit rate of this promo to be slightly higher than the numbers above suggest as we have the extra point in our favour (a 6-point W/L).

evcouta Posted December 19, 2018 4:10 pm

TAB Promo:
-Hit in 39/43 games last season (91%)
-Average of 2 players per match (of the 39 matches) triggered

BET365 Promo:
-Triggered in 12/43 games last season (28%)
-3/5 games at the GABBA hit (60%)
-2/4 games at Spotless hit (50%)
-2/5 games at WACA hit (40%)

Pointsbet Promo:
-Triggered 10 times out of 43 games (23%)
-50% of teams went on to win

Palmer 180 & Lose:
-6/43 games hit (14%)

Ladbrokes 6 Promo:
-Only hit in only 7% of games (3/43)
-However, hit twice at the GABBA out of 5 games (40%)
-Hit once at Blundstone Arena out of 4 games

evcouta Posted December 19, 2018 4:18 pm

Check the Elites Chat for the excel doc that was just uploaded.

Goes into depth on all the promo stats, stadiums of where it occurred, runs per match etcetcetc for BBL

Also an in depth summary on the new TAB promo for NBA so you can see which teams are the best to hit.

Enjoy 🙂

evcouta Posted December 19, 2018 5:10 pm

may be some value on the lads promo tonight, hit in 2/5 games last year at the gabba

nkha22 Posted December 19, 2018 5:58 pm

What about the Blue bet promo? It has a very good promo… Any stats on that would be great too

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