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The Cash Kings © 2024 All Rights Reserved.| Terms Of Use |
18+ ONLY | If, at any time, you feel that your gambling is becoming a problem we recommend contacting gamblinghelponline.org.au and seeking help.
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Sportsbet Early Pay-out Promo (try in first 5-minutes)
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63/160 regular season games in 2020 had a try scored within the first 5-minutes of the match. Of those 63 games the team LOST (triggering a double pay-out) on 19 occasions. This gives us a final hit rate of 12% based on last seasons results. Most of the teams that went on to win after scoring a try in the first five minutes were a top-8 side.
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Interestingly, of the 19 teams that scored within 5-mins and then lost, 16 of them were teams that finished in the bottom half of the ladder. As you might expect, this gives us in indication that this promo is better used to target a lower ranked side to sneak in an early try and then go on to lose the match.
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Keep in mind the above-mentioned stats relating to a top or bottom eight side is fairly basic and therefore does have its flaws. However, for the most part this split between the bottom and top half of the eight does provide us with a fairly decent overview of the type of team’s tendencies for this promotion.
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Final stat: Three games in R1 last year had a try within the first 5-minutes, with two of those teams going on to lose the match (double-payout!)
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Tonight’s game has two premiership contenders going at it so we’re skipping this promo for now but expect us to hit around three games for this first round.
NO tabtouch.
Bet365 and lay storm ?
Or use the Sportsbet early payout promo?
Bet365 on it’s own is definitely not worth a go on nearly all games, unless you can get a really good qualifying loss (which won’t happen often on Betfair due to 10% commission)
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You can use Sportsbet if you really want to, as it’s going to be a worthy promo for nearly all games but we have selected to use it on other matches this round.
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My personal advice however would be not to do that, as we do have two SGM’s in play for some profit tonight too, so no need to force a promo play with Sportsbet given we’re going to be on other games in the round
Middle-Bets/Side-Bets Explained
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If you were a member last season, most of you should have a thorough understanding with middles bets and know how to get on with ease. However, if you are new here or need a freshen up on the topic, we have provided a brief explanation below.
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A middle bet is placing two separate bets on a market where you create a gap or ‘middle’ where a situation can occur where both bets win. Relative to CK Sports, these type of bets are typically only posted on Line/Handicap markets. This is where we back the Handicap/Line on both teams. It’s only possible to do so where there’s a positive gap (easy way to remember: the + handicap line needs to be higher than the – handicap line).
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An example from last season where we profited $200 was:
$200 staked @ $2.00 on Parramatta Eels -10 with Playup
$200 staked @ $2.00 on West Tigers +10.5 with Neds
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As the underdog Handicap/Line (+10.5) was higher than the favourite (-10) this created a positive gap where if the Eels won by exactly 10-points, the +10.5 on Neds resulted as a win, and the -10 with Playup resulted with a refund/cash back (known as a push/void). This gave us a final return of $200 profit while running no risk (thanks to $2.00 odds on both bets).
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We are currently seeing some $2.00 lines from bookies like Neds/Lads, Playup and Topsport so we can expect some middle-bet plays over the coming weeks. Make sure you have all these accounts open and funded ready to go. Middle-bets are typically posted around 1-hour or less till game time so keep an eye on Telegram to follow.
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Make sure you are comfortable with placing these bets as last season we made over $1000+ just from these middles. Do your best to get on them all so you don’t miss out on any profits!
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These can also be referred to Side-Bets at times, which are the same type of bets but just imply we only profit from one side of the bet (whereas a true middle has you profiting on both bets).
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Elite members can read more information on Middle Bets in the forum linked in the comment below. Oxy has provided some great insights on the topic.
https://elitesystem.wpengine.com/groups/the-elites/forum/topic/middles-2/
Why can’t i do a 3 leg same game multi with tab? Can anyone help?
Hey mate, are you first selecting the Same Game Multi tab/section? It’s located above the team names to the right of “All Markets”
You need to click into here first and then you can select the legs to create the Same Game Multi
Thanks i worked it out sorry must have been having a blonde moment
No issues legend!
Odds Update:
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If you are just getting on the plays now, here’s the updated dutching play with the current odds available:
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https://www.profitkings.com.au/promo-tools/#/promo/?t=Promo%20Calculator&n=2&a=Melbourne%20Storm&b=South%20Sydney%20Rabbitohs&c=Result%20C&r=%5B%7B%22e%22%3A15%2C%22s1%22%3A50%2C%22o1%22%3A1.9%2C%22s2%22%3A%22%22%2C%22o2%22%3A%22%22%7D%2C%7B%22e%22%3A19%2C%22s2%22%3A50%2C%22o2%22%3A1.94%7D%5D
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