March 12th = $551
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Here’s a scaled-down play of the promo dutch on the Broncos v Eels match. If you have a smaller bankroll you can use the below example or play around with the Promo Builder Link to adjust the stakes to your liking.
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https://www.profitkings.com.au/promo-tools/#/promo/?t=Promo%20Calculator&n=2&a=Brisbane%20Broncos%20&b=Result%20B&c=Result%20C&r=%5B%7B%22e%22%3A8%2C%22s1%22%3A30%2C%22o1%22%3A3.2%2C%22s2%22%3A%22%22%2C%22o2%22%3A%22%22%7D%2C%7B%22e%22%3A14%2C%22s1%22%3A%22%22%2C%22o1%22%3A%22%22%2C%22s2%22%3A75%2C%22o2%22%3A1.36%7D%5D
Sportsbet Early Pay-out Promo (try in first 5-minutes)
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63/160 regular season games in 2020 had a try scored within the first 5-minutes of the match. Of those 63 games the team LOST (triggering a double pay-out) on 19 occasions. This gives us a final hit rate of 12% based on last seasons results. Most of the teams that went on to win after scoring a try in the first five minutes were a top-8 side.
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Interestingly, of the 19 teams that scored within 5-mins and then lost, 16 of them were teams that finished in the bottom half of the ladder. As you might expect, this gives us in indication that this promo is better used to target a lower ranked side to sneak in an early try and then go on to lose the match.
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Keep in mind the above-mentioned stats relating to a top or bottom eight side is fairly basic and therefore does have its flaws. However, for the most part this split between the bottom and top half of the eight does provide us with a fairly decent overview of the type of team’s tendencies for this promotion.
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Final stat: Three games in R1 last year had a try within the first 5-minutes, with two of those teams going on to lose the match (double-payout!)
Middle-Bets/Side-Bets Explained
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If you were a member last season, most of you should have a thorough understanding with middles bets and know how to get on with ease. However, if you are new here or need a freshen up on the topic, we have provided a brief explanation below.
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A middle bet is placing two separate bets on a market where you create a gap or ‘middle’ where a situation can occur where both bets win. Relative to CK Sports, these type of bets are typically only posted on Line/Handicap markets. This is where we back the Handicap/Line on both teams. It’s only possible to do so where there’s a positive gap (easy way to remember: the + handicap line needs to be higher than the – handicap line).
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An example from last season where we profited $200 was:
$200 staked @ $2.00 on Parramatta Eels -10 with Playup
$200 staked @ $2.00 on West Tigers +10.5 with Neds
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As the underdog Handicap/Line (+10.5) was higher than the favourite (-10) this created a positive gap where if the Eels won by exactly 10-points, the +10.5 on Neds resulted as a win, and the -10 with Playup resulted with a refund/cash back (known as a push/void). This gave us a final return of $200 profit while running no risk (thanks to $2.00 odds on both bets).
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We are currently seeing some $2.00 lines from bookies like Neds/Lads, Playup and Topsport so we can expect some middle-bet plays over the coming weeks. Make sure you have all these accounts open and funded ready to go. Middle-bets are typically posted around 1-hour or less till game time so keep an eye on Telegram to follow.
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Make sure you are comfortable with placing these bets as last season we made over $1000+ just from these middles. Do your best to get on them all so you don’t miss out on any profits!
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These can also be referred to Side-Bets at times, which are the same type of bets but just imply we only profit from one side of the bet (whereas a true middle has you profiting on both bets).
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Elite members can read more information on Middle Bets in the forum linked in the comment below. Oxy has provided some great insights on the topic.
https://elitesystem.wpengine.com/groups/the-elites/forum/topic/middles-2/
Banned from playup coz I used BOB and cleaned up on horses.
Banned on PointsBet since October last year
Sub I’m sportsbet or palmerbet ( lead at 60min and lose )
We don’t advise using Palmer all that often as they are known to take away bonus bet winnings (which can lead to some large losses. We are going to be using Sportsbet a bit more over the next two days so ideally you save them for the official plays however if you want to get on tonight’s you can do so. Just make sure you place mug-bets with them too
Tab’s promo on its own is pretty good, so even just dutching with another bookie at the best odds available for a mug-bet is a solid play (Bet365 currently have the best odds at $3.30 on the Broncos)
Bet365 also provides a small chance at the 16-up promo, but it’s mainly for a mug and the best odds
Middle-Bet update: Odds with Topsport and Playup have gone, but Bluebet is still available. If that goes wait it out until the $2.00 lines open with Playup and Topsport (around an hour out from game time)
Updated Middle Bet play if you missed the above:
-Topsport: -7.5/8.00 on the Eels at $2.00 (found under the promo market
-Neds or Ladbrokes: Broncos +8.5 at $2.00
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Stake the exact same amount on both bets, ideally similar stakes to the $200 posted in the official play above (read notes below the play)
It’s an even better bet than earlier, as it now provides a $300 pay-out (if you stake $200 each side) if the Eels win by 8-points, and it’s completely risk free
There was no over 33.5 only 34.5 so looks like a loss no money back unless a late try here
For future reference maybe send through a comment asking and we’ll see if we can find you anything better, as that one point can be a key number. With that being said we’re typically pretty happy to take the lowest Overs total on most games given these new rules are encouraging fast paced games with plenty of scoring
Late try got you there anyway!
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